Thousands of people have died, and thousands more are bereaved. Jobs are lost, businesses destroyed, hopes and plans in tatters. But it could have been even worse.
What if the shops had actually run out of food, not just delivery slots? They didn’t. The massive stocking up, followed by the closure of the entire catering and hospitality sector, created a huge sudden shock to the supply chain. The chain flexed, and it didn’t break.
Of course, for various reasons, many people still don’t have access to that food. Government in Scotland, both local and national, is trying to tackle that; but there is no national or global shortage of food.
This resilience in the supply chain is partly about technology, but mostly about trust. Countries didn’t close their borders to trade in food, because they were confident that other countries would keep their borders open. This co-operation has extended to sharing data as well as medical supplies and healthcare workers.
What if countries had continued to ignore the science and refused to make hard choices now in order to avoid worse problems later? In most countries, people have listened to their governments and accepted disruption as the price for keeping others safe.
So what can we learn so far from the Covid crisis about climate and nature?
First, that our food system can change rapidly. Overnight, we have stopped eating and drinking outside the home. That’s changing what as well as how we eat.
Food is the main driver of three global challenges – obesity and malnutrition; the collapse of biodiversity; and global heating. We simply can’t deliver on our aspirations for climate, for nature or for public health unless we change the food system. What we eat is shaped by our food environment – and this crisis has brought home to us how much that environment is shaped by a handful of businesses. That power should be used responsibly.
Supermarkets should be selling us a healthy balanced diet and making it easier for us to buy and eat what we need to stay well. They should be reducing the environmental impact of the food they sell, both in terms of climate and nature; for example by supporting agroecology, by reducing supply chain waste and encouraging more plant-based eating.
There have been baby steps of change in this direction, but we know now that new can become normal in a couple of days. That’s why it’s especially disappointing that the Scottish Government’s Good Food Nation bill is another inevitable casualty of the virus.
Second, that countries can take rapid and drastic action – whatever it takes – and get support from their citizens. And they can work together to confront a challenge. There could have been some more visible global leadership, but in this real emergency after some early wobbles countries are co-operating in the common interest rather than manoeuvring for advantage. The level of future international co-operation will determine whether this crisis generates a green recovery or a grey depression – neither is inevitable.
Third, that people can get left behind in a transition. For some of us in the UK, so far this has been an inconvenience but not a disaster. Most people have kept their jobs and are being paid as normal, even if they have had to adjust their lifestyle and the way they work. But millions have lost their livelihoods overnight because of events for which they were not responsible. The parallels with climate change are all too obvious.
While most people in the UK are food secure, millions are experiencing food insecurity. There are two groups affected. First, those most vulnerable to the impact of the virus, who have been told to stay at home and whose normal ways of getting food have been disrupted. Government has been slow, but is now following up its message to stay home with a co-ordinated system to make sure people are getting the food they need. Similarly, cash or food is now being put in place for children eligible for free school meals.
Second, the people whose income is wholly inadequate to meet their living costs: those who have lost their income and have had to turn to Universal Credit and personal loans within a week or two; and the people who were already food insecure before this crisis hit – including many refugees and asylum-seekers who have no recourse to public funds.
Food banks and new community level charity efforts are springing up across the UK in light of the lack of coordinated response.
All of us have a right to food in international law, and both UK and Scottish Governments have a duty to respect, protect and fulfil that right. Government has a duty to ensure that everyone can access food with dignity – not just calories from charity but the ability to choose and buy healthy, sustainably produced food.
Scottish Government’s investment of £350m to strengthen the Scottish Welfare Fund and support the efforts of local authorities and communities is very welcome. ommunities have a vital part to play in enhancing our wellbeing, but it must not be left to a scramble of well-meaning charities to pick up the pieces. Not this time, and not afterwards.
The climate change summit in Glasgow is another casualty of the virus, though so far at least it has only been postponed. But wherever the climate talks reconvene, we should remember seven words:
Whatever it takes
A version of this blog featured in The Scotsman on 14 April 2020.